Dean Browski

Predictions NBA Playoffs First Round 2013

The Dean — Sat, 20 Apr 2013 17:35:50 +0000

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Without much fanfare, here are my predictions on the NBA First Round.
East
Heat 4-0 If you want to make an argument for believing in unicorns, then you can try and reason a Bucks win here.

Knicks 4-1 This one will be a lot shorter than people think. Way too many props being given to Celtics.

Nets 4-3 Its hard to count out the Bulls, but I am counting them out.

Pacers 4-2 Least intriguing matchup of the first round. Atlanta is a do-nothing team. They will continue to do nothing.

West
Thunder 4-1 Rockets will scratch and claw but most they will do is win one game.

Spurs 4-2 I wouldn’t be totally surprised by a Lakers win, wait, yes I would.

Nuggets 4-3 140-137 will be the typical score in each game of this series.

Clippers 4-3 I could just as easily take the Grizzlies, but with the Lakers going to be done the league needs to keep at least one LA team in the mix. Oops, did I say that out loud? Don’t tell Dictator Stern.

Playoff Bracket

Super Bowl XLVII

The Dean — Sun, 03 Feb 2013 16:51:53 +0000

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Let’s cut to the chase. When I write my predictions I usually like to string you the reader along until the end of the post to tell you which team I like to cover spreads and win games. Not today. Today I am going to tell you right off the bat that the Baltimore Ravens are going to win this game today and they will win it going away. I knew I would pick the Ravens today because on September 4, 2012 I predicted that the Super Bowl this year would crown the Baltimore Ravens. Don’t believe me? Listen here. But to hang my proverbial hat from that hook doesn’t say much about today’s game. It simply shows that I was fortunate enough to have my predicted winner in place and that I was going to stick by my prediction. In short, my response to why I think the Ravens are going to win is nothing more than me saying, “Because I said so.” Well, here is why.

For starters, I am dumbfounded by people’s undying belief in Colin Kaepernick and their utter distrust of Joe Flacco. Kaepernick has started 9 NFL games, 9. Joe Flacco has won a playoff game each of the last 5 years. Joe Flacco was a Lee Evans dropped ball in last year’s AFC Championship game away from this being his second consecutive Super Bowl appearance. The insanity of bad mouthing Flacco and hailing Kaepernick needs to stop, and today it will. People point to Kaepernick’s performance against the Packers as proof of his awesomeness. However, if you watch that game again what you will see is one of the worst defensive performances ever perpetrated on a football field. Last game against Atlanta is more realistic. 21 yards rushing, just over 50% of his passes completed, and if not for Matt Ryan choking like a pig it would be Atlanta in today’s game and not the 49ers.

Try these stats on for size. Not counting each team’s final game of the regular season, the 49er defense has given up on average 33 points and 424 yards per game; while the Ravens have scored over 30 points per game. The Baltimore defense has given up only 4 TDs in 3 games, and do you all remember what the Falcons did in the first half to that Niner defense?! I understand they didn’t do squat in the second half, but that was due to Falcon miscues, not great Niner play. The 49ers could not stop the passing attack of Atlanta and it will be worse today. The 49er defense sacked Matt Ryan one time which has been their trend in the latter half of this year. A weak pass rush and an exposed secondary. Flacco will exploit it with Boldin and Smith having big days. The running combination of Rice and Pierce will prove too much for SF, and Kaepernick will prove to be not enough.

There are a lot of other items we can all point to in order to justify whichever team we think will win. The Ravens fortunate bomb for a TD against the Broncos that was misplayed by the Broncos secondary. Two common opponents, the New York Giants who beat the 49ers by 23 points but lost to the Ravens by 19. The New England Patriots who was beaten by both teams (Baltimore twice) but the Pats also racked up over 500 yards against the 49er defense. Some bad losses for both teams. The Ravens with a loss to the Eagles and the 49ers with a loss and tie to the Rams for example. Did you also know that the pattern of Ws vs Ls for the 49ers this year was gone 2 wins followed by a loss all year. The 49ers are on a current 3 game winning streak with an end of the year win over the Cardinals and two playoff wins. The Ravens lost 4 of their last 5, and should have lost in San Diego if not for a 4th and 29 conversion that might not have actually been a first down. Dig deep and you will find items to support whichever way you want the game to go.

I began picking Super Bowl’s on my blog in in the 2006-07 season. In the last 6 Super Bowls my record ATS is 5-1 and SU is 6-0. That said: Final Score, Baltimore 38 – San Francisco 27.

Straight
Baltimore Ravens +3.5 vs San Francisco 49ers (5-stars)
Baltimore Ravens ML +160 vs San Francisco 49ers (5-stars)
Baltimore Ravens/San Francisco 49ers Over 48 (1-star)

Dean Browski’s 2012 NFL Betting Record To Date

Straight: 17-22-1

Parlays: 2-2-0

Bankroll +/-: +4.96%

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NFL Conference Championships

The Dean — Sun, 20 Jan 2013 17:06:08 +0000

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I trust you all missed me in my absence, either way, I missed you. Last we chatted I went 25 stars on the Patriots over the Colts in Week 11. That win put me back in the black, and now we continue what we started with today’s Conference Championship games. To be frank, itwas very easy for me to pick the winners of today’s games because on September 4, 2012 I, Dean Browski, of somewhat sound mind and body predicted that the Super Bowl this year would consist of the Atlanta Falcons and the Baltimore Ravens. Don’t believe me? Listen here Sucka! Well folks, both of those teams are playing today and I am staying on the path I laid back in September. If you want a full breakdown by Dean and JR Stress on today’s games, along with a whole lost of other good ish, listen to yesterday’s Dean Browski show.

Straight
Atlanta Falcons +4 vs San Francisco 49ers (5-stars)
Atlanta Falcons ML +172 vs San Francisco 49ers (5-stars)
Baltimore Ravens +8 @ New England Patriots (5-stars)

Dean Browski’s 2012 NFL Betting Record To Date

Straight: 16-21-0

Parlays: 2-2-0

Bankroll +/-: +6.56%

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2012 NFL Wagers – Week 11

The Dean — Sun, 18 Nov 2012 17:48:11 +0000

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Alright, time to get back in the black. I love the Patriots this weekend and I am going to put my money where my mouth is. I am not going to mess around this weekend with spreading money around the board. I love this game so much that I am laying 25% of my opening bankroll on New England -9.5. In past conversations I have limited by total for the day to ~15%. Remember, those are guides not rules. The rule is, when you see an opportunity, break on the ball and get it, just make sure you fucking get it.

Straight
New England Patriots -9.5 vs Indianapolis Colts (25-stars)

Dean Browski’s 2012 NFL Betting Record To Date

Straight: 15-21-0

Parlays: 2-2-0

Bankroll +/-: -15.94%

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2012 NFL Wagers – Week 10

The Dean — Sun, 11 Nov 2012 17:42:13 +0000

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The Dean’s plays for today are below. Pretty cut and dry. Two 5-star plays, Cowboys -2 and Lions -3.5. Both are road favorites but I am looking beyond that and looking at the teams involved. Eagles are done in my opinion, too much stuff there for them to get over as they have shown they have the intestinal fortitude of a hedgehog, which is to roll up into a ball and wait for the danger to leave. Only thing leaving is Andy Reid. The Lions get to play the Vikings without Percy Harvin. The Lions are also better than the Vikings, though their records don’t necessarily indicate that. After today they will more accurately reflect each team’s true standing. And then we have a 4-team parlay being played at 1-star. You all can read, so no need to write more than necessary. Like I lead off with, the picks are below.

Straight
Dallas Cowboys -2 @ Philadelphia Eagles (5-stars)
Detroit Lions -3.5 @ Minnesota Vikings (5-stars)
New York Giants -4.5 and Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3 and Oakland Raiders +7.5 and Houston Texans +1.5 (1-star)

Dean Browski’s 2012 NFL Betting Record To Date

Straight: 14-20-0

Parlays: 2-1-0

Bankroll +/-: -0.131%

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2012 NFL Wagers – Week 9

The Dean — Sun, 04 Nov 2012 16:35:11 +0000

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Listen, no one is going to argue that The Dean is the best bettor in the world, that is not the effing point. We are working a system here! Despite a winning percentage of .400 the cash deficit is nominal because there has been thought and care put into just how confident I am with the picks I have made. Being +1 on parlays also aids in the manner. But here we are now, Week 9 of the NFL season and we should be smarter, or at least not as dumb. Baltimore is coming off of a bye, which they needed, and the Browns are coming off of a win, which they needed even more. The Browns aren’t winning 2 in a row, and Baltimore needs to show that they are still in charge despite the Texans drubbing of them 2 weeks ago. Cleveland hates the Ravens, but they might actually hate their own team even more. I will take the Ravens and give the 3.5 points. In Washington it will again be proven that good triumphs over bad when RG3 shows Cam the Sham what its like to be a real NFL QB. I like the Redskins to cover the 3 points at home. The Cardinals are who we thought they were from the start of the season. Some were fooled by their start, but now we see who that the preseason concerns are legit and the Red Birds are no good. I will take the Packers and give the 10 points. In the night game I am taking the Cowboys to win outright at +167 moneyline. There is a stat out there, which I am going to paraphrase but you will get the gist. The Cowboys are 3-0 or 4-0 the last that many times they have played an undefeated team that is at least 7-0 or 6-0 or whatever. In turn, all 3 or 4 or whatever of those teams went on to win the Super Bowl. The Dean has the Falcons in the Super Bowl so that stat appeals to me. That and I think the football gods are going to make it up to Dallas for Dex Bryant’s fingers being too big for his own good.

Straight
Baltimore Ravens -3.5 @ Cleveland Browns (5-stars)
Washington Redskins -3 vs Carolina Panthers (5-stars)
Green Bay Packers -10 vs Arizona Cardinals (5-stars)
Dallas Cowboys +167 @ Atlanta Falcons (3-stars)

Dean Browski’s 2012 NFL Betting Record To Date

Straight: 12-18-0

Parlays: 2-1-0

Bankroll +/-: -0.155%

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2012 NFL Wagers – Week 8

The Dean — Sun, 28 Oct 2012 16:25:02 +0000

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Took a week off to clear The Dean’s head and get rid of of some baggage that’s been bogging Dean down. Let’s just say that the Lake Tahoe region of CA/NV has a lot of desolate areas. And now on to this week’s picks. 5 bets, all 3-stars.

Straight
Green Bay Packers -16.5 vs Jacksonville Jaguars (3-stars)
Washington Redskins +4.5 @ Pittsburgh Steelers (3-stars)
St. Louis Rams +7 vs New England Patriots (3-stars)
New York Giants -2.5 @ Dallas Cowboys (3-stars)
Denver Broncos -6.5 vs New Orleans Saints (3-stars)

Dean Browski’s 2012 NFL Betting Record To Date

Straight: 10-15-0

Parlays: 2-1-0

Bankroll +/-: -0.115%

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Alive and Kicking

The Dean — Wed, 24 Oct 2012 15:19:23 +0000

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The Dean is Alive and Kicking, regardless of what some simple minds might conclude with Dean’s silence over the weekend, recording The Dean Browski Show late last week, and not recording a new show last week. Some travels, prior commitments, and the logistics of life can sometimes jam us up. Battle on, battle through, put on foot in front of the other and for the love of God, don’t step on your own feet.

I know there is a clamoring amongst the people to hear from Dean, so today I will share some of the topics we would have talked about last night, had we recorded. Additionally, there is a bonus track, a flashback to the original days of The Dean Browski Show. Back when it was recorded on the East Coast. It was a different style show, presented to you for your listening pleasure. The show below is from October23, 2007. Week 8 of that year had such gems as the Browns going to 4-3 with a road win in St. Louis; Dante Culpepper QBd the Raiders to a loss against Vince Young and the Titans; the Miami Dolphins lost at home to the New York Giants 13-10 and went to 0-8; the Jets were only one game better at 1-7 after a 13-3 home loss to the Buffalo Bills; the Patriots went to 8-0 with a 52-7 drubbing of the Washington Redskins. You can see all of Week 8 2007 results right HERE.

Impressive, Unimpressive
Kansas St, Impressive. There are some nice surprises in college football this year and K-State is one of them. The score big points and they play good defense, giving up 16.1 ppg which is 14th best in the country. Don’t be surprised to a K-State vs Alabama championship game

American Populous, Unimpressive. For continuing to play along with the most fucked up system in the world, taking the bait, and then shouting insults at each other instead of actually doing something. Yeah, the American political scene, where it doesn’t matter if words are true, if beliefs are based on fallacies or truths, and everyone is a fucking genius. I encourage everyone to read this articleand don’t open up your pie holes until you have a firm grasp on what the phrase “illusion of explanatory depth”. In short it means, you don’t know what the fuck you are talking about so shut your mouth!

Dean Browski, Unimpressive. For keeping the people waiting. That’s all I have time for right now, thanks for being fans!

For Your Listening Pleasure
The Dean Browski Show, October 23, 2007

2012 NFL Wagers – Week 6

The Dean — Sun, 14 Oct 2012 16:50:48 +0000

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A lot of interesting games on the board today, and very little clarity on my part. I can’t get away from the Falcons being the best bet of the day, so I am making it 5-stars. I do believe that the Jets will cover today, I really really do. But they are the Jets so they only get 2-stars from me. The Cowboys could make me look even more foolish than my 8-14 record indicates, or not. Apparently my confidence in the Cowboys is less than it is in the Jets. The Browns and Redskins are two homedogs that I think will win, so let’s wrap them together and make it a 2-star parlay.

Straight
Atlanta Falcons -10 vs Oakland Raiders (5-stars)
New York Jets -3 vs Indianapolis Colts (2-stars)
Dallas Cowboys +3 @ Baltimore Ravens (1-star)
Parlays
2-Team
Cleveland Browns ML +110 and Washington Redskins ML +105 (1-star)

Dean Browski’s 2012 NFL Betting Record To Date

Straight: 8-14-0

Parlays: 1-1-0

Bankroll +/-: -0.142%

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2012 College Football – Week 7

The Dean — Sat, 13 Oct 2012 15:58:54 +0000

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Last week may have been the single best day in Dean’s betting history. We don’t linger in stale champagne so I can’t be sure, but taking a bankroll that was done almost 15% and in one day turn that into +6% is applause worthy. I will wait. Thank you. One last piece on that, two weeks ago the college bankroll was down over 25%. The moral is, its a long year, don’t shoot all you bullets early on, if you know what I mean.

Not seeing a whole lot on the board this week, some oddities like two ranked teams getting points against unranked teams. Having difficulty this AM arriving at the best way to lay the games that made the cut. There are 6 of them and I am torn between a low investment with parlays, or laying them all out individually as 1-stars. Thinking, thinking, 6 straight games, all 1-stars. Here they are:

Straight
Oklahoma Sooners -3 vs Texas Longhorns (1-star)
West Virginia Mountaineers -3.5 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders (1-star)
BYU Cougars -6 vs Oregon St. Beavers (1-star)
Washington Huskies +14 vs USC Trojans (1-star)
Baylor Bears -7 vs TCU Horned Frogs
Mississippi Rebels -4 vs Auburn Tigers

Dean Browski’s 2012 College Football Betting Record To Date

Straight: 10-12-0

Parlays: 2-3-0

Bankroll +/-: +6.34%

The Dean Browski Show! Dean and JR Stress give you their NFL picks for this week and a whole lot of fun too!

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