Dean Browski’s NFL Picks Record To Date:

ATS: 33-15
SU: 32-16

A W indicates my prediction on the team that will win the game, and a indicates who I predict will cover the spread. All point spreads are from BetUS.com.

	Lions +10 @ Bears -10	W
W	Bengals -5.5 @ Browns +5.5
	Raiders +9.5 @ Texans -9.5	W
	Seahawks +10.5 @ Colts -10.5	W
W	Titans -3 @ Jaguars +3
	Jets +7 @ Saints -7	W
W	Giants -8.5 @ Chiefs +8.5
W	Ravens +2 @ Patriots -2
	Buccaneers +7 @ Redskins -7	W
W	Bills -2 @ Dolphins +2
W	Cowboys -3 @ Broncos +3
	Rams +9.5 @ 49ers -9.5	W
	Chargers +6.5 @ Steelers -6.5	W
	Packers +3.5 @ Vikings -3.5	W

There are many aspects of college football that are hard to match or find anywhere else. The passion of the fans, the enormous, rabid crowds that pack stadiums which seat over 100,000 people, the week-to-week drama of do or die games, and lastly the absolute stupidity of how a champion is decided.

This past week #4 Mississippi Rebels lost to the unranked South Carolina Gamecocks on Thursday night. That was followed on Saturday by #5 Penn State playing host to previously unranked, but undefeated Iowa. Iowa handled Penn St. without a problem and soundly beat the Nittany Lions 21-10. Meanwhile, up in Eugene, Oregon the #6 California Golden Bears were shellacked by the Oregon Ducks 42-6.

At the conclusion of that trio of games Mississippi stood at 2-1, and South Carolina stood at 3-1; Penn. St. at 3-1 and Iowa at 4-0; and, Cal at 3-1 and Oregon at 3-1. Before I get to the point of this article, let’s take a look at who each of these teams had collected wins against:

Mississippi (2-1): Memphis, Southeastern Louisiana, (Loss to South Carolina)
South Carolina (3-1): NC State, Florida Atlantic, Mississippi, (Loss to Georgia)

Penn St. (3-1): Akron, Syracuse, Temple (Loss to Iowa)
Iowa (4-0): N. Iowa, Iowa St., Arizona, Penn St.

Cal (3-1): Maryland, Eastern Washington, Minnesota, (Loss to Oregon)
Oregon (3-1): Purdue, Utah, Cal, (Loss to Boise St.)

Logic would dictate that each South Carolina, Iowa, and Oregon would be ranked higher than the teams they just beat. All have either the same or better record, the winning teams have played a better schedule, and they each beat the team to which they are being compared. In the Associated Press Poll they got it right with the exception of Mississippi still receiving more points than South Carolina. Unfortunately, the AP poll is not used to determine the BCS rankings. For that, they use the USA Today Coaches Poll, The Harris Interactive College Football Poll, and computer rankings each of which comprise one-third of the BCS Standings.

The Harris Poll is not out yet, but the Coaches Poll has it 100% backwards. Mississippi is ahead of South Carolina, Penn St. is ahead if Iowa, and Cal is ahead of Oregon. Now you might say, so what, the poll isn’t final until the season plays out, and you would be correct. But if the people that are in charge of this whole process can’t get it right now, what makes you think they will be able to get it right then? It is the equivalent of crashing your car during a driving exam but being awarded your license anyway because, what the heck, it doesn’t count until you get on the road.

Furthermore, a team’s position in the standings now dictates how far they will jump or fall based on their upcoming wins or losses. All the teams mentioned above that won this past weekend are at a disadvantage to the very teams they beat. As if they weren’t already at a disadvantage due to the preseason rankings that put those teams ahead of them to begin with.

It is redundant to say that the system is broken, almost everyone knows that. But its one thing to have a flawed system, its a completely different animal when you have a patently unfair system and no one does anything to fix it.

All point spreads are from BetUS.com.

Dean Browski’s NFL Betting Record To Date: 16-7


Carolina Panthers +8.5 @ Dallas Cowboys
Tonight’s game features two QBs that are under the gun, big time. One major difference is that Jake Delhomme’s teammates have his back, they have publicly said so. Tony Romo meanwhile has no vocal support from any corner. Even Cowboys from the past have taken the time to step to the fore and rip Romo. Romo has shown that he does not handle pressure well and he has pressure on him in all directions; the new stadium, poor performance, old-timers wanting his head, etc

Dallas’ win came against the Tampa Buccaneers, and the Cowboys gave up 21 points an 174 yards on the ground. This is the same Bucs team that netted a grand total of 28 yards on the ground and only 5 first downs against the Giants. I understand that the Cowboys run-defense ‘improved’ in Week 2 against the Giants, but it improved at the expense of giving up 330 yards in the air. I understand that Jake Delhomme has struggled, but the the Panthers are just as versatile on offense as the Giants are, and don’t expect Delhomme to screw the pooch like he did in last year’s playoffs and against the Eagles in the opening week. Jake rebounded in Week 2 throwing for 308 yards, 1 TD and limiting his INTs to 1.

The biggest question of the night is, ‘will the Cowboys play calling be made with the thought of protecting Romo from himself?’ If it is, remember that the Cowboys are without Marion Barber. There are two more than capable backs behind Barber, but they aren’t Barber. I am not sure that the Panthers defense will be able to stop the Cowboys, but the Giants proved that you don’t need to stop the Cowboys, they will stop themselves. And in turn, they won’t stop anybody.

I am taking the points and the Carolina Panthers.

All point spreads are from BetUS.com.

Dean Browski’s NFL Betting Record To Date: 10-6


Green Bay Packers -6.5 @ St. Louis Rams
Maybe you feel good about the Rams due to their hanging tough with the Redskins last week. And maybe you are down on the Packers because they lost to the Bengals. Well, not me. The Rams ability to stay close to the Redskins should not be applauded, and the biggest factor in that game was Rams head coach Steve Spanoulo used to the New York Giants defensive coordinator. His familiarity is what kept that game close. As far as the Packers losing to the Bengals, the Bengals are not as bad as you may think.


Baltimore Ravens -13.5 vs Cleveland Browns
The Browns have not scored an offensive touchdown yet this year. To put it bluntly, they suck. The Ravens defense may not be as good as the past but their offense has picked up any slack in a big way.


Philadelphia Eagles -7.5 vs Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs meltdown against the Raiders last week at home tell the tale of this team. The are no good, and despite the Eagles injury problems they are good enough with Kevin Kolb at QB, and expect Michael Vick to contribute today as well.


Houston Texans -3.5 vs Jacksonville Jaguars
The Texans loss to the Jets doesn’t seem nearly as bad as it did when it happened. The Jags are really going the wrong way.


Chicago Bears -3 @ Seattle Seahawks
The Seahawks without Matt Hasselbeck are a very different team. I will be shocked if Seneca Wallace is able to keep pace with Jay Cutler today.


Detroit Lions +6.5 vs Washington Redskins
The Lions believe they can win this game, and it has been a long time since that team can say that. The Redskins meanwhile are falling apart at the seams. The Lions have played two of the better NFC teams in their first two games, now they get one of the worst.


San Francisco 49ers +7 @ Minnesota Vikings
The 49ers are playing as well as anyone, and while the Vikings are 2-0 they have not been impressive in beating two fo the NFL’s bottom dwellers with the Browns and the Lions. Adrian Peterson is not 100% and the 49ers will take care of business today against an overrated, overhyped Vikings team.

Dean Browski’s College Football Betting Record To Date: 11-11


Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets -3 vs North Carolina Tar Heels
Another instance of an unranked team giving points to a ranked team. This is 3-0 on the year, the most recent being Oregon giving points to Utah and covering.


Iowa Hawkeyes +9.5 @ Penn St. Nittany Lions
Penn St. is in the same boat as some other teams, most notably Mississippi, which is to say they haven’t played anyone yet this year. Their first test comes against a team that has beaten PSU 6 of the last 7 times they have met. 9.5 points is just too many for a PSU team that can’t seem to run the ball.


Florida St. Seminoles – 14 vs South Florida Bulls
The Seminoles have been impressive this year with their lone loss coming in their opener against Miami. South Florida suffered a devastating loss when their Senior QB Matt Grothe was lost for the year due to injury.


Temple Owls -3.5 vs Buffalo Bulls
You can laugh at Temple all you want, but they are a competitive MAC team and will cover this line today.


Pittsburgh Panthers +1 @ North Carolina St
Playing a hunch with this one, but I believe Pitt should be able to win this game.


Miami Hurricanes -3 @ Virginia Tech Hokies
This is one of the day’s most anticipate games. Miami’s youth may be their weakness, but they way they have been playing I don’t think it will matter.


Clemson Tigers -2.5 vs TCU Horned Frogs
Yet another unranked team giving points to a ranked team.


>Bowling Green Falcons +16.5 vs Boise St. Broncos
Bowling Green had a chance for a marquee win against Missouri and let it slip away. Boise St. is without RB D.J. Harper due to a torn ACL. The injury and the lack of blue turf should keep this one close.


Maryland Terrapins +1 vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Dean’s scout JT threw this bone our way and The Dean likes it. It is easy to sleep on Maryland with their extremely disappointing start to the year, but last year started similarly and the Terps still ended up in a bowl game. All they need to do is win at home and they should do that today.


Notre Dame Fighting Irish -6.5 @ Purdue Boilermakers
Notre Dame’s offense has looked good all year and as long as Jimmy Clausen’s toe doesn’t hamper him, which will be dependent on his offensive line protecting him, the Irish should rack up a bunch of points and be able to cover a 6.5 point spread.

All point spreads are from BetUS.com.

Dean Browski’s College Football Betting Record To Date: 11-10


Nevada Wolfpack +7.5 vs Missouri Tigers AND OVER 61.5
It is still a real tough time of the year for college football as we all try and get a handle on who is for real and who is not. Missouri put a whoopin’ on Nevada last year beating the Wolfpack in Missouri 69-17. The Tigers lost a bunch off of last year’s squad while the Wolfpack returned a bunch from a team that went to a bowl game. At this point in the season though you wouldn’t guess that based on each team’s record.

Nevada is 0-2 with both games coming on the road against decent opponents. What is most surprising may not be the Wolfpack’s 0-2 mark, but rather their lackluster offense which was to be the strength of this team. Their first two games were on the road (@ Notre Dame, and @ Colorado St.) and believe me when I say weird things happen in Reno, and I am sure the Wolfpack are glad to be home.

Missouri meanwhile is off to a 3-0 start with a beat-down of Illinois, a narrow escape against Bowling Green and walk through against Furman. The last two were home games while the first was in St. Louis so the Tigers are yet to travel, and like I said, strange things happen in Reno.

I believe that the Nevada offense will find its groove and keep this game close, while the Tigers should also put up their fair share of points. Add it all up and I will take the homedog and the over and keep my fingers crossed for some parlay magic.

All point spreads are from BetUS.com.

Dean Browski’s College Football Betting Record To Date: 11-9


Mississippi Rebels -4.5 @ South Carolina Gamecocks
There are a lot of factors to consider in this SEC matchup. Ole Miss comes in to this game ranked #4 in the country, but has not played anyone of significance so we are left to wonder if they are for real. They did beat Florida last year and then handled Texas Tech in their bowl game, they have an excellent QB in Jevon Snead, a good head coach in Houston Nutt and a lot of expectation. The Rebels also lost to the Gamecocks last year at home. The Rebels were -2 in the turnover ratio in that game.

South Carolina meanwhile played a lackluster game against NC State and prevailed 7-3, and lost a shootout to Georgia. It is hard to get a gauge on who the Gamecocks are at this point. Homedogs on Thursday night games make some people’s mouths water, and when the line is only 4.5 it almost seems like a setup. The way I see it, the Rebels may have their high ranking based solely on expectation, but I have seen South Carolina QB Stephen Garcia play and I am not a fan. I am also not a fan of South Carolina’s special teams. Head coach Steve Spurrier is quoted as saying, “Our kicker’s not real good and our coverage is horrible. It seems like they all like to run together outside. You can see it. I can see it. Everybody in the ballpark can see it.” That does not instill any confidence in The Dean and makes me decide to lay my money on Ole Miss.

All point spreads are from BetUS.com.

Dean Browski’s NFL Picks Record To Date:

ATS: 23-9
SU: 23-9

A W indicates my prediction on the team that will win the game, and a indicates who I predict will cover the spread. All point spreads are from BetUS.com.

	Browns +13 @ Ravens -13	W
W	Giants -6.5 @ Buccaneers +6.5
W	Packers -6.5 @ Rams +6.5
	Chiefs +9.5 @ Eagles -9.5	W
	Falcons +4 @ Patriots -4	W
	Redskins -6 @ Lions +6	W
W	49ers +6.5 @ Vikings -6.5
	Jaguars +3.5 @ Texans -3.5	W
W	Titans +2.5 @ Jets -2.5
W	Saints -6 @ Bills +6
W	Bears -2 @ Seahawks +2
	Broncos -1.5 @ Raiders +1.5	W
	Dolphins +6 @ Chargers -6	W
W	Steelers -4 @ Bengals +4
	Colts +2.5 @ Cardinals -2.5	W
W	Panthers +9 @ Cowboys -9

All point spreads are from BetUS.com.

Dean Browski’s NFL Betting Record To Date: 10-5


Miami Dolphins +3 vs Indianapolis Colts

There is a lot of action on the Colts and the line has stayed steady at 3. Cause for concern for Colts backers? Possibly. Neither team looked all that good last week but the Colts got a win at home against the Jaguars while the Dolphins lost in Atlanta. There are all sorts of trends and statistics that point to betting on the Home Dog in a Monday Night Football game. That sort of sways me a bit, but more compelling to me is the more recent trend that was yesterday’s games. The lines that seemed like traps, were. The games I speak of were the Steelers giving only 3 to the Bears and the Giants catching 3 from the Cowboys. If Tony Romo wasn’t absolutely pitiful last night the Cowboys would have had an easy win and the trap games would have gone 0-2. Throw in the fact that the Colts are without Anthony Gonzalez and I believe the Colts offense will struggle this eve and the Dolphins will not commit 4 turnovers like they did last week. That said, The Dean will take the points and the Dolphins.

All point spreads are from BetUS.com.

Dean Browski’s NFL Betting Record To Date: 6-3


Oakland Raiders (ML +130) @ Kansas City Chiefs
Make fun of the Raiders franchise all you want, they are not as bad as advertised. Kansas City showed some fight against the Ravens last week and it has people thinking they aren’t that bad. Well, they are. I like the Raiders to win this game outright and will be taking the Raiders and the Moneyline at +130.


Jacksonville Jaguars -3 vs Arizona Cardinals
The struggles of west coast teams playing on the east coast in 1pm games is well publicized. Add the fact that the Cardinals are not healthy and not clicking on offense yet and you understand why I like the Jaguars to cover the 3 points.


Buffalo Bills -4 vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Bills showed why they are the Bills last week with that heartbreaking loss on Monday night. Thge Buccaneers however did not show who they are thanks to playing the Cowboys who are NOT VERY GOOD!!! The Bucs will not run on the Bills, and T.O. and Trent Edwards will have their way with the Bucs secondary.


Baltimore Ravens (ML +120) @ San Diego Chargers
The Ravens have a secret weapon this year. Its called an offense. The Chargers meanwhile have two injuries to overcome. You may think that LaDanian Thomlinson’s is the most critical for the Chargers, and while it is significant the more critical injury is the one to their Center Nick Hardwick. I like the Ravens to win this game outright.


Pittsburgh Steelers -3 @ Chicago Bears
To be honest, this line feels like a setup. Why are the Steelers only giving 3 points to the Bears? I understand that Troy Palomalu is out, but the Bears lost Brian Urlacher and did y’all see Jay Cutler last week?! The Bears have average WRs and I don’t see them being able to run against the Steelers. I am going to stop being paranoid and just go with what makes sense, and that is Steelers to win by more than 3.


New York Giants (ML +125) @ Dallas Cowboys
Let me get this straight, the Giants are getting points against the Cowboys. The Steelers only giving 3 was perplexing, but the Giants getting points is donwright confounding. The Bucs ran all over the Cowboys last week, and the Giants will do even more damage than the below average Bucs. Everyone is hyped by the Cowboys passing game. REALLY?! The Cowboys new stadium will end in a loss for South America’s Team.