I am going to maintain a steady practical approach to my college football wagers. That is to say, exhibit patience and keep paying attention. I have not seen enough, and teams have not played enough for me to make any definitive claims of significance. I don’t believe they should have rankings published yet for this very reason. Let the season play a few weeks before we start declaring who is better than who.

There is a trend that I have been following for the past three years and it has hit over 60% of the time. The trend is to play Hone Dogs that lost at home the week before. I identify these teams and I bet them, regardless of the spread, regardless of the team. This is simply a trend bet. For example, Syracuse lost at home last week to Akron and now faces Penn St. at the Carrier Dome. The Orangemen are +28.5. Under any circumstance other than Syracuse fitting the trend I would not touch this game. As a matter of fact, I would probably lean towards Penn St. considering the facts. But alas, these wagers are not about analysis on an individual game basis, it is an analysis of a trend. And if the trend hits 60% of the time, then all games that fit the trend must be played.

Here are this week’s Home Dogs That Lost at Home the Week Before

Syracuse +28.5 vs. Penn St.

Washington +21.5 vs. Oklahoma

New Mexico +12 vs. Arizona

The following 4 games I liked individually, so I grouped them into a 6-point teaser and got 3x my action.

California -10 @ Maryland

Vanderbilt -4 vs. Rice

Oregon -3.5 @ Purdue

USC -6 vs. Ohio St.