December 30, 2007

NFL Week 17 Picks: Cleveland, Miami and Pittsburgh: 3stars

by @ 11:13 am. Filed under NFL, Wagering

Cleveland, Miami and Pittsburgh: 3stars

I like to look back on games and identify what I missed, the thing or the nothing that had I or had I not considered it, would’ve or could’ve allowed me to see the light or a at least a different light. Ya dig? BC the other night is a prime example of me not going back and listening to what I have come to believe about a team after seeing them play. After watching BC numerous times this year I drew the conclusion that they have a very good QB and a bunch of over-achieving, typical BC, experienced players and they won games, but not impressively; and as of late not many at all. Still, I went with BC because, well I don’t know why and that is what pisses me off. Why did I go with BC? It defies logic; problem is I wasn’t aware at the time of decision making of what my previously stated logic about BC was. There is a flaw in my pre-game research. Anyway, after jumping up big with a parlay and a single win on Thursday, my increase didn’t last as I was let down by BYU and Tampa Bay. If I had to do the BYU game over again I would do it exactly the same way. Had I known the Bucs were going to sit people, I would not have gone that way. Just saying. Yesterday came together nicely, hitting 3 Team-O/U parlays as well as hitting my documented 5-star and a 3-star picks. No losses on the day! We’ll see what today brings. So far I like the Browns, and I think that’s it. Let me dive into Covers.com and extend my research.
I am back after about 10 minutes of research, many games I will not even consider due all the questions about what players will be playing or resting. I arrived at 3 games that I like and also got a chuckle out of seeing Indy +5 at home against TEN.

The teams I like today are:

Cleveland -11.5

Miami +2.5

Pittsburgh -3.5

None of them are 5-stars and I have a hard time seeing any of them as 4-stars. 3-stars it is across the board. Out of the lot, Pittsburgh is the only team that has a playoff reason for competing today. A Steeler win and a Charger loss would give the Steelers the 3 seed and a date with either Cleveland or Tennessee, both better options than Jacksonville. Cleveland meanwhile will most certainly do the Cleveland thing, which is to win a game in glorious fashion when the outcome of the game has no bearing on their destination, but yet their destination is not yet determined. Miami is playing Cincinnati, I remember how Cincy mailed it in against the 49ers two weeks ago. Don’t be fooled by last week’s win over the Browns. That was a rivalry game and Cincy was in the spoiler role. In Miami, the Dolphins do have reason to compete even if the reasons are selfish. I like my chances with a very bad team of 11 motivated individuals against a not very good team of 11 unmotivated individuals.

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