Tennessee Titans @ Cincinnati Bengals

Titans -1.5
There are 4 Value Picks this weekend, and this game is the only one where I am following the VP. The Dean’s line is Tennessee -4.5, but Vegas is only asking for 1.5, so I will gladly give it and take the Titans. Cincinnati is a team that is hurt, both physically and emotionally. You need to forget what you remember them doing and being the past couple years, this is not the same team. I also believe that the public looks at Tennessee’s poor showing in Denver last week as a sign that the Titans aren’t good enough to win on the road. I disagree. Let me also state for the record that I do not love Tennessee today, just sorta like them; hence, I am giving it 1-star.

Buffalo Bills @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Jaguars -8.5
You could’ve had Jacksonville at -7.5 if you jumped on them early in the week. The line has moved up, and for good reason. The Bills are a hard-working, but not very good team and on the road is NOT their favorite place to be. Jacksonville meanwhile is playing quietly well and is in good position to capture a first round bye in the playoffs. These two teams are going in opposite directions and that should stand out today.

Minnesota Vikings @ New York Giants

Giants -7
I have been saying all year that the Giants are over-valued and that is due in large part to their schedule. Well, the schedule continues to work in their favor, as does the injury to Adrian Peterson. The Giants suffered their first injury of the year last week losing DE Mathias Kiwanuka, but it won’t matter today as they face the one-dimensional Vikings. I also understand that Plaxico Burress is a little banged up, but the NYG defense will be able to carry the day, and the Giants running game will be enough to put the necessary points to cover. This game will add to the over-valuation of the Giants, which will set them up to be a 5-star bet-against in the coming weeks. Stay tuned. For today, they are a 4-star pick.

Baltimore Ravens @ San Diego Chargers

Chargers -8.5
Sometimes it pays to hold off on placing your wager; this game is an example. The line opened at Chargers -9.5 and has come down on most books at least 1 point. These two teams may seem tough to figure out, but in their matchup with each other there are two items to focus on. The first is the fact that the Baltimore offense is downright bad and they will struggle to put up even 10 points today. The second is that the Ravens defense is overrated. That will become evident today when the Chargers move the ball and score a bunch of points. Looking ahead, a Charger win today will make betting against the Chargers attractive in the coming weeks. I would like to go 4 stars on this game but Philip Rivers and Norv Turner are making me check myself, so San Diego gets 3-stars.

Houston Texans @ Cleveland Browns

OVER 51.5
I do not like playing Over/Unders but this game just JUMPS out at me. Two potent offenses against two below average defenses. The game should be close and the scoring should be plentiful. Due to my lack of love for Totals, I am giving it 2-stars.