Oregon Ducks @ Arizona Wildcats

Oregon -11
Thursday night games are always something to look forward to, but this one is extra special. The main reason I am excited is that we get to watch the Oregon Ducks and see what this team is all about. The last time I saw them on TV was their demolition of Michigan and that was back in Week 2. At the time I chalked the Ducks lopsided victory upto the Wolverines being bad, but in retrospect the Ducks are good. How bad does Oregon wish they could have the Cal game back? All that aside, Thursday night games have been known to produce upsets, especially when a Home Dog is involved. That makes the Ducks position this evening even more precarious as we all know what has happened to teams ranked near the top this year. If Oregon runs the table, and they will be big favorites in their remaining games, they will go to the BCS title game. I am confident in that because I believe Kansas will drop a game yet this year, most likely in the Big 12 Championship. But I digress.

Back to tonight. All things being even I believe getting Oregon at less than 14 is a bargain. Unfortunately not all things are even. You have the 2007 upset bug that could strike at any time, you have a Home Dog in Arizona, and you have Oregon QB Dennis Dixon not necessarily at 100%. When I combine all the elements, I am putting my dinero on the Ducks though I am keeping it at 3-stars due to the previously mentioned bug and Thursday night history.