October 28, 2007

NFL Week 8

by @ 12:38 pm. Filed under NFL, Wagering

Value Picks

For those that don’t know, Value Picks are determined by comparing the Actual Line with The Dean’s Line and identifying those games with a line differential of 3 or greater. The Actual Line is just as it sounds, it is the line at the time you are making your wagering decision. Being that lines move, a game that is a Value Pick one day, may not be the next. The Dean’s Line is the average line of The Dean and his Scouts. For example, The Dean and his scouts set the line for the 49ers/Giants game at -6, -5, -7, -6.5, and -7. The average is -6.3. With the Actual Line being -9.5, this game is a Value Pick because the line differential is 3.2. All lines are communicated via the Home Team, with the above example the Giants are favored but we do not think the Giants should have to give more than 6.3 points. Since NYG has to give 9.5, the 49ers are a Value Pick.

Houston Texans +9.5

The Dean’s line is Houston +6.1

Dean Browski: Houston +8; Stormin Crotch: Houston +3; Tripp McNeely: Houston +8; Cole Trickel: Houston +6.5; Shrek the Stat Ogre: Houston +5

Jacksonville Jaguars +3.5

The Dean’s line is Jacksonville -0.7

Dean Browski: Jacksonville PICK; Stormin Crotch: Jacksonville -3; Tripp McNeely: Jacksonville -5; Cole Trickel: Jacksonville +6.5; Shrek the Stat Ogre: Jacksonville -2

Buffalo Bills +3

The Dean’s line is Pick ‘em

Dean Browski: Buffalo +2; Stormin Crotch: Buffalo -3; Tripp McNeely: Buffalo -3; Cole Trickel: Buffalo +1; Shrek the Stat Ogre: Buffalo +3

Green Bay Packers +3

The Dean’s line is Green Bay -1.8

Dean Browski: Green Bay +3; Stormin Crotch: Green Bay -3; Tripp McNeely: Green Bay -5.5; Cole Trickel: Green Bay +1.5; Shrek the Stat Ogre: Green Bay -5

Notes and Other Games

Dean Browski likes Chicago -5.5 . . . . Shrek likes Washington +16 . . . . Stormin likes New Orleans-3 . . . . Tripp likes Indianapolis -6.5. . . . Cole likes New York Giants -9.5.

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