There are 6 games I like today and because of that I am spreading the money evenly. This year I have introduced a 20% guideline which stipulates no more then 20% of the available pool of money can be wagered in any one weekend. These six games keep me slightly under the 20% allowed, and I feel real good about all these games. May the ball bounce your way today!
The Bulls have been one of the more impressive teams over the past year. They have won the games they should have and even a few no one thought they would. The Tar Heels have played close games so far this year, but haven’t beaten a D-I program yet and their two losses were to below average teams. The Bulls are hot, and they will methodically take care of UNC.
Arkansas St gave Texas a scare, but then again so did Central Florida. Tennessee on the other hand has not impressed me yet this year. The line is big, and the dog has a legit chance at winning.
The argument can be made that neither Penn St nor Michigan has done anything impressive yet this year. The Wolverines lone win was against a horrible Notre Dame team, and Penn St defeated the same horrid team and two other patsys. The difference here is that Penn St HAS taken care of business and Michigan has not. More importantly, PSU’s receivers will give Michigan the same fits that Appalachian St and Oregan did. I believe Penn St is a good football team and Michigan is not. Let me also state the Anthony Morelli is the weak link on the PSU football team, but UM’s secondary is so poor that even he will have a good day.
The Hoosiers have won the last two meetings with Illinois, are 3-0 on the year, 2-0 ATS yet find themselves as home dogs. I can’t for the life of me figure out why. Illinois has shown nothing this year that says they are an improved team. Indiana is playing well in all 3 facets of the game; they are running the ball effectively and are playing with a mission after the off-season death of their head coach.
I am a believer in the Eagles. They have an experienced QB, an exciting offense and a good defense. Army will play hard, but they just can’t match BC’s talent. The game may be close for a time, but in the end BC will win this game by plenty.
The home team has won this game for 10 plus years. Virginia has been unimpressive so far this year, while Tech has a lone loss to what I believe is a very good BC team. Taking the Yellow Jackets and giving the points despite the home team winning streak.
I like playing a certain trend, and the Rebels fit the trend, so I am playing them. Irony is that UNLV fit the trend last week also and it didn’t pan out. But a trend only hits at the percentage you expect if you play that trend every time it appears.
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September 23rd, 2007 at 11:39 am
Yesterday was a tough day, the kind of day that makes me wonder just what in the hell I am doing. The good part is the stars were low, and lessons were learned . . . hopefully. The bad part is, there is not much good about a 2-5 day. Should’ve gone big on what I liked, and should’ve known better what is worth believing in. There will be no Monday Morning Quarterbacking going on here, but I will point out the obvious. Indiana is still Indiana, Georgia Tech was disappointing, Boston College was not interested, Penn St. is laughable and my own rationale for taking Arkansas St. should have been the rationale for NOT taking Arkansas St. . . . Little did Lloyd Carr know that the best defense for PSU’s WRs was the PSU QB. Anthony Morelli did more to stop the Nittany Lion offense then Michigan’s D did. Thanks for coming Morelli, and thanks for f’n leaving.