Two of today’s picks had fairly drastic movement during the week. This again highlights the need to be paying attention all week long and to hop on a game when you have confidence. If you wish to have success you must be willing to take calculated risks. The line movement did not change the team in either of the picks, but the same teams (Lions and Jaguars) were at more attractive lines at the start of the week. Tip: Set your own line before seeing the weekly lines. Look for differences that are in your favor and go after them while the gettin’ is good.

Packers @ Lions

Lions -7
The Lions failed The Dean last week, but so did Connecticut. That didn’t keep me from hopping back on the Husky train yesterday and it’s not keeping me off the Lions’ either. This is the week that Roy Williams had meant to guarantee victory and 40+ points. The Lions offense is not as bad as they have shown the first two weeks and the Packers are as bad as they have shown. Brett Favre’s struggles in domes are well documented and it will continue today. Make this a 5-star, take the Lions and give the points.

REVIEW: Lions 24 – Packers 31

A lot of people lost on this game. Not an excuse, just saying.

Redskins @ Texans

Texans +4
The Redskins are favored on the road? Not buying it. The Texans are good on offense and bad on defense, but the good news is the Redskins are poor on offense. The Texans will win some games this year and this will be one of them. Out-right winners are always fun and The Dean likes Houston at home getting the points.

REVIEW: Texans: 15 – Redskins 31

I think spite got in the way of my thinking here. The Redskins still are the second most overrated team in the NFL.

Jaguars @ Colts

Jaguars +6.5
Everyone loves the Jaguars defense. No reason not to, but they are facing a different offense this week than either the Cowboys or the Steelers. That being said, The Dean told you last week that the Jaguars have designs on the Division this year and here is their first opportunity to set the tone. You could have had this game at +9 if you took it earlier in the week. If you are waiting until now to place your wager, you will have to accept the 6.5 and be happy about. Be 4-stars happy and take the Jags and the points.

REVIEW: Jaguars 14 – Colts 21

The question this game brings to the fore is “when do you stop betting on a team?”. As mentioned previously, the Jaguars should have been a wager placed earlier in the week.

Eagles @ 49ers

Eagles -6
There may not be a better team ready to bounce back from a tough loss than the Eagles. This group of players has been together for a lot of years and the biggest joke going in the media is that the Giants loss could be devastating. Not even close. McNabb does not get fazed and now gets to take his precision offense to play a bad 49er team. Just what the doctor, or in this case The Dean, ordered. Make this a 5-star taking Philly and giving the points, this is a nice chance to take a very good team against a very bad team at a reasonable line.

REVIEW: Eagles 38 – 49ers 24

Like I said, the Eagles are not a team to doubt.